Rabobank: U.S. beef at export disadvantage
ST. LOUIS, Mo. (Rabobank) – Beef production patterns are changing around the world and the industry is seeing the new trade dynamics, policy, and consumer-driven preferences are shaping future success.
According to a new report from the Rabobank Food & Agribusiness Research and Advisory group, U.S. beef producers are seeing the nature of beef trade evolving as other countries are producing beef under favorable export agreements, while the U.S. dollar gains in value, and domestic markets are making demands producers haven’t experienced before.
“In the U.S., we are hearing from producers that they are wrestling with strategic questions centered around whether creating a safe and nutritious product will be enough to sustain a profitable market for quality U.S. beef,” said report co-author and Rabobank protein analyst Don Close.
The report explores imports and exports of global beef-producing countries and the development of China and Southeast Asia as major consumers.
“Over the past few years, China has become a major player in the global beef trade,” said Rabobank analyst Matt Costello. “While per capita consumption for beef is low compared to more traditional beef markets, projections suggest Greater China will become the world’s largest beef importer in the coming few years.”
Against this backdrop, the U.S. beef industry faces an increasingly competitive global beef market.
While the U.S. is expected to remain the global standard for quality and supply stability, the domestic industry has the opportunity to determine future investment through a robust discussion about competitive strategy.
The report outlines three suggestions from Rabobank to keep U.S. products competitive.
“We feel a focus on enhancing U.S. export opportunities, producing beef that meets emerging consumer preferences, and implementing programs such as a voluntary, industry-driven cattle and beef traceability program are important steps to strengthen the U.S. position in the market,” said Close.
Looking closely at trade, he added, “it’s our point of view that if TPP (Trans Pacific Partnership) is not passed, it puts U.S. exports at a significant disadvantage in a global marketplace since there is an anticipated increase in exports from South American countries that have trade agreements separate from TPP.”
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