The only thing that is certain regarding the election of Donald Trump as president is that there will be change. Obama was too much hope and too little change. The pundits and columnists were spewing a profuse amount of political speculation on what that change will constitute and may not be any more right about what comes next than they were in predicting the election outcome.
Donald is a master marketer. He can read the room, figure out what they want and then make it look like it was always all his idea. I think one of the greatest handicaps for governance in Washington has been strict ideology.
I am not an ideologue and neither is our new president. That removes a lot of the restraints and constraints on finding solutions to solving problems.
I think the ones that will be the most surprised with Trump next are the conservative ideologues. A lot of things they believe in, such as fear of deficits, Donald is not inclined to share. He wants to get the economy going and if that takes enlarged deficits for a period of time, that is just what it takes … so be it.
They may use some creative schemes to camouflage government spending. A part of his wall is now a “fence” and the “good” parts of Obamacare will be kept. Trump displays the pragmatic flexibility of a deal maker.
Trump conducted a hostile takeover of the Republican Party apparatus and he brought a lot of new voters to the polls that could care less about “conservatism” or “liberalism.”
They just want stuff to work and government to function. It hasn’t done that in a long time and Republicans were as responsible for that as Democrats.
Both major parties are loosely defined and I don’t think Trump will function in the partisan manner just experienced the last eight years. He can’t and be able to make things work. That will potentially be a good thing.
Trump is going to go to the “movement” for his support and tell them to inundate the Congressional switchboard when he tells them to and they will do it. There will be a personal component behind his support that may not translate to party or it will turn the movement into a new party. Even GOP ideologues are smart enough to know that they have to govern this time. They are plumb out of excuses for lack of accomplishments.
They will accept things and adapt to others for Trump that they would never do for Obama. Obama accepted the gridlock in Washington failing to go to war with the establishment over change until he became the establishment. Trump will fight hard to never lose that initiative.
There were some huge revelations revealed in this election. The rural map of the U.S. is very red with only isolated blue cities or high population states where the urban population outnumbers the rural population in blue.
This was not the surprise, but the vote count from red rural areas was. The percentage for Trump represented overwhelming landslides in rural areas. Trump won with 68 percent of the vote in my county. I didn’t think that 68 percent of the people here agreed on anything.
One of the revelations was that the Democratic Party currently has absolutely no ability to relate or communicate with those that live in rural America. They are absolutely clueless about how or where even to start that conversation.
For example, they are again considering Nancy Pelosi for House minority leader. Hillary Clinton only got 26 percent of the vote in my county and Nancy Pelosi would poll far less. Democrats have to change, and keeping Nancy Pelosi will make Republicans gleeful as they would know Democrats learned nothing from the election.
The Democratic Party establishment lived within city limits. They really didn’t care to know much about rural America until surprise-surprise, they start losing elections.
How they respond to that will be telling. Will they do an outreach to rural America or just inflame their base to bring out more democratic votes from blue bastions of support?
The Des Moines Water Works for example, is Democratic Party-like establishment and they are conducting what rural Iowans considered to be an attack on rural America via its lawsuit of county drainage districts. Whether they know it or not, the DMWW was crushed in this election.
WOTUS will be lost in this election too from two directions, a new EPA administrator and new Congress.
The election result nationwide and here in this state is that rural voters responded with such turnout it exceeded all political expectations. Donald won Iowa by a 10 point margin with 52 percent of the vote (pre-election polls had Trump up 3 to 6 percent). Hillary only won six of Iowa’s 99 counties and the Democrats lost control of the Iowa legislature, too.
The (former) Democratic majority leader of the Senate, Mike Gronstal, was beaten so the Democrats were trounced right down to the grass roots.
National party dogma was followed by Iowa Democratic Party candidates, Patty Judge for the U.S. Senate (who won one county of 99) and Jim Mowrer, candidate for the U.S. House, and it killed them politically because it so drastically differed from the beliefs and expectations of the rural population.
The Democratic Party is absolutely out of touch with rural America and it bites them hard in this election. They seem to think that the liberal activists, ICCI and such, represent the rural populace when nothing could be further from the truth. They make a lot of noise, but not a lot of the vote.
David Kruse is president of CommStock Investments Inc., author and producer of The CommStock Report, an ag commentary and market analysis available daily by radio and by subscription on DTN/FarmDayta and the Internet.
Please Enter Your Facebook App ID. Required for FB Comments. Click here for FB Comments Settings page