Will spring 2020 replicate spring 2019?
By KRISS NELSON
The last few weeks have brought some limited opportunity for spring fieldwork to begin, but will that continue?
During a planting intentions and grain stocks report held last week by DTN, Bryce Anderson, DTN ag meteorologist gave some of this thoughts on current spring conditions and what we can expect as we move forward.
Anderson said with the precipitation we have received over the last month wasn’t much help for farmers needing to get some pre-planting fieldwork accomplished.
“That just adds to very wet soils that we came out of 2019 with,” he said. “The soil profile is full. And with normal precipitation that is going to be too much for a lot of this ground.”
“We are in a situation where there’s not going to be a whole lot of real drying ahead as we go through the season,” he said. “There’s not going to be a whole lot of real widespread, or long lasting periods of drier conditions.”
Some areas seem to be better than others, however.
“There is a section of the Midwest – in the Mississippi Valley and west that does have a reduced flood threat for this year- in Iowa, northern Missouri, eastern Nebraska, Kansas and into western Illinois,” he said. “As far as the real widespread, just wet ground flooding, I don’t think we are going to be seeing that, but there is still going to be a limited period when fieldwork is going to be available.”
How should producers manage this potential weather outlook?
“I think we are going to have some acreage questions. I think, also, that producers are going to really have to push the envelope on planting speeds, fieldwork speeds, equipment inventory,” he said. “There is also going to be more decision making done in regards to soil conditions, and I think we are likely to see ground being worked when it’s wetter than producers would like instead of waiting for a real ideal, or tolerable situation on soil moisture because of the memory of what we went through last year with over 19 million acres of preventive planting.”
Anderson said preventive planting could be a large part of the acreage out in the country again this year, especially in the northern third of the major crop areas.
If we can get through spring, summer looks manageable.
“I will say right now, summer does not look like it’s going to be a real stressful scenario, but the big issues we have are through the spring – kind of like what we had a year ago,” he said.
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